RandBall

Michael Rand started RandBall with hopes that he could convince the world to love jumpsuits as much as he does. So far, he's only succeeded in using the word "redacted" a lot. He welcomes suggestions, news tips, links of pure genius, and pictures of pets in Halloween costumes here, though he already knows he will regret that last part.

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Tuesday (Coach K would trade for Kevin Love) edition: Wha' Happened?

Posted by: Michael Rand Updated July 22nd at 11:31am 268112972

lovelebronThis story came out yesterday — insomuch as you can call something a college basketball coach said on a radio program a “story” — and we hesitated about posting on it.

But after sleeping on it (not literally, that would be weird), we begrudgingly decided the item about Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski saying he would trade for Kevin Love if he was the Cavaliers is at least interesting from a couple of standpoints.

As much as Krzyzewski is mocked by the anti-Duke crowd, nobody would argue that he has had a massive amount of success as a coach. He knows hoops, and he has coached Love twice on an international level, including at the 2012 London Olympics.

He is also a college coach with a tremendous amount of respect for the game at that level, so when he says he would trade No. 1 overall pick Andrew Wiggins for Love without “one second of hesitancy” it holds some water. Coach K told John Feinstein on CBS Radio:

“He’s a double-double guy, but he’s a double-double guy that can spread the court. There aren’t many double-double guys, if any, who spread the court. He can go inside and outside…. No pun intended, but I love Kevin Love.”

He also outlined the LeBron factor — James will turn 30 this year and should prefer a sure thing to partner up with in Cleveland.

You do not want to waste any year of a great player’s career,” he said.

This could just amount to one guy’s respected opinion. Or it could also be the culmination of whispers he is hearing from plugged in basketball folks. James was also on that 2012 Olympic team. It wouldn’t even be shocking if Krzyzewski was doing his pal LeBron a favor by advancing the cause of a Cleveland trade.

So if a respected basketball mind is advocating the trade for the Cavs, why do we still like it for the Wolves? Because it’s a deal that clearly benefits both sides.

If Wiggins does sign this week, as has been reported, a deal cannot officially happen for 30 days thereafter. If the rumored deal of Wiggins, Anthony Bennett and a first-round pick is realistic, we hope Flip Saunders, the Cavaliers and all the fans involved have enough patience to see it through.

TFD: Teddy Bridgewater jerseys are more popular than Adrian Peterson jerseys

Posted by: Michael Rand Updated July 22nd at 11:34am 268012191

brigewaterAh, now there’s a classic misleading headline!

Well, there is at least some shred of truth to it. The top-selling NFL jerseys since April 1 were released today, and you’ll never guess who is number one.

OK, of course it’s Johnny Manziel.

Travel down on the list a little, and you’ll find Vikings rookie Teddy Bridgewater at No. 13, while running back Adrian Peterson is at No. 14. So in the roughly four months or so of tracking, Bridgewater’s jersey is more popular than Peterson’s.

It’s a bit of an unfair fight, of course, since the countless fans who already have Adrian Peterson jerseys presumably weren’t in any particular rush over the past four months to get brand new AP jerseys, while no no Bridgewater/Vikings jerseys existed before April 1 (except in the mind of Star Tribune football writer and Bridgewater No. 1 fan Master Tesfatsion).

Both Vikings, however, trailed the “12th Fan” jersey from Seattle, which was the 10th-best seller and proved beyond a doubt, once again, that our society is crumbling around us.

Twins starters don't give up as many hard-hit balls as we would imagine

Posted by: Michael Rand Updated July 21st at 8:04pm 267971761

correiaAfter this weekend’s disaster, in which the Twins’ hand-selected post-break first three starting pitchers — Kyle Gibson, Phil Hughes and Kevin Correia — combined to throw 17.1 innings and allow 15 earned runs against the Rays, Twins starting pitchers have a combined 4.96 ERA this season.

That’s nearly a run worse than the AL average for starters (4.06) and more than a run worse than the MLB average (3.94). That 4.96 ERA for starters ranks 28th in all of baseball, with only the injury-ravaged Rangers and the thin-air-challenged Rockies faring worse.

Interestingly enough, though, Twins starters don’t fare nearly as poorly when it comes to giving up hard-hit balls. The Twins are 20th in MLB — not good, but much better than their ERA ranking — when it comes to the percentage of balls hit hard off their starting pitchers, per ESPN stats guru Mark Simon.

What does this suggest? Well, the margins are pretty small, so it might not mean anything. Twins starters give up hard-hit balls 16 percent of the time; the worst team, Texas, sits at 18.3 percent. So basically Texas pitchers give up two more hard hit balls every 100 at-bats, which isn’t a huge amount.

It could mean the Twins’ defense is suspect, since it could stand to reason that the hard-hit ball ranking should be roughly equal to the ERA ranking. That said, any benefit from a lower hard-hit ball rate is probably wiped out by the fact that Twins starters have just 349 strikeouts, fewest of any staff in the majors. With more balls put in play, Twins starters are bound to be “unlucky” — either with soft-hit balls landing for hits or just the sheer volume of hard-hit balls overwhelming them regardless of the overall percentage.

A team like Atlanta, for instance, has a similar hard-hit ball rate among its starters (15.7 percent), but the Braves have  a very good starters’ ERA (3.38, sixth in the majors). Their starters have 525 strikeouts, No. 5 in the majors. The percentage is close to the same as the Twins, but with 176 more strikeouts from starters — almost all of which are guaranteed outs, except for the rare wild pitch/passed ball on a third strike — the volume of hard-hit balls and flares is much lower and logically many more overall outs are recorded.

Maybe Twins starters have been a little unlucky. It is possible to post an average-to-good ERA among starters without having a high strikeout rate (Toronto, KC and Pittsburgh all have starters’ ERAs more than a run better than Twins starters, even though all of them rank 22nd or worse in strikeouts).

More likely, though, their not-dreadful rank of 20th when it comes to hard-hit ball rate is wiped out, and then some, by the large number of balls put in play.

Monday (Wiggins reportedly to sign with Cavs soon) edition: Wha' Happened?

Posted by: Michael Rand Updated July 21st at 8:04pm 267940791

wigginsOne of the curious parts of any proposed Kevin Love-to-Cleveland deal is slated to change this week because the Cavaliers are reportedly going to sign No. 1 pick Andrew Wiggins to his rookie contract.

This can impact a Love/Wiggins deal in many ways. First off, per NBA rules, Wiggins cannot be traded for 30 days after signing his rookie contract. Second, once he is signed, he will have a defined NBA salary cap number that will impact any trade as well.

So is this good news or bad news when it comes to a potential trade between the Wolves and the Cavs?

Well, it depends on how you look at it. Even if Wiggins is signed, the teams could agree to a deal in principle behind-the-scenes and wait to make it official once the 30 days have passed. So Wiggins signing certainly doesn’t make a deal impossible. That said, it might have been more convenient had he signed immediately after the draft, since his 30 days would be pretty close to over by now.

The complication is probably more in the perception. Let’s say Wiggins signs on Friday; it’s going to be late August before he could officially be traded — and late August before the resolution of any movement with Love. The longer this plays out, the worse it is for both teams.

We also have to consider the possibility that Wiggins signing is an indication that Cleveland is not going to trade him. … And we also must wonder whether leaking information that they plan to sign him this week is an attempt to speed up trade talks.

Until he signs, or at least until we have definitive word that the Wolves and Cavs are serious about a deal, everything is status quo.

TFD: Here are 3,000 words on the Love/Wiggins trade possibility

Posted by: Michael Rand Updated July 18th at 6:23pm 267721161

Grantland.com is run by Bill Simmons, meaning the site typically

1) loves to talk hoops

2) loves to trash the Timberwolves.

Simmons and co. have assembled some stream of consciousness takes on a possible Kevin Love-Andrew Wiggins trade, and they add up to about 3,000 words. Some of it is bitter nonsense, some of it is astute observation. We will leave you to dig through it, with this set-up from Simmons:

With my beloved Celtics stuck in Rebuilding Mode, I find myself rooting for LeBron’s Cavaliers to give Cleveland its first championship in 50 years. How they handle a hypothetical Kevin Love–Andrew Wiggins trade is crucial for that quest. What should they do? Here at Grantland, we couldn’t resist passing along our advice. I’m writing an expanded take, and then we’re turning it over to some of our other writers for their quickie takes.

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San Diego - LP: J. Lane 0 FINAL
Atlanta - WP: E. Santana 2
Washington - J. Zimmermann 6:10 PM
Miami - N. Eovaldi
Philadelphia - A. Burnett 6:10 PM
NY Mets - B. Colon
Milwaukee - K. Lohse 6:10 PM
Tampa Bay - J. Odorizzi
Toronto - R. Dickey 6:10 PM
Boston - C. Buchholz
Arizona - C. Anderson 6:10 PM
Cincinnati - H. Bailey
Colorado - Y. Flande 7:05 PM
Chicago Cubs - T. Wada
NY Yankees - D. Phelps 7:05 PM
Texas - Y. Darvish
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Houston - B. Oberholtzer
Pittsburgh - V. Worley 9:15 PM
San Francisco - M. Bumgarner
NY Giants 8/3/14 7:00 PM
Buffalo
Los Angeles 9:00 PM
Seattle
Calgary 26 FINAL
Edmonton 22
Winnipeg 23 FINAL
Brt Columbia 6
Ottawa 23 FINAL
Hamilton 33
Toronto 9 FINAL
Saskatchewan 37
Indiana 9:30 PM
Los Angeles

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