Matt Vensel is in his first year at the Star Tribune after covering the Ravens for the Baltimore Sun for six years. He is a Pittsburgh native and a Penn State grad. Follow him at @mattvensel.
Mark Craig has covered the NFL for 23 years, and the Vikings since 2003 for the Star Tribune. He is one of 44 Pro Football Hall of Fame selectors. Follow him at @markcraignfl.
Master Tesfatsion is the Star Tribune’s digital Vikings writer. He is a 2013 graduate of Arizona State and worked for mlb.com before arriving in Minneapolis. Follow him at @masterstrib.
We’re finally here. Week 17. The draft order should be finalized by Sunday, barring any necessary coin toss tiebreakers.
The Vikings lost to the Dolphins, 37-35, on Sunday to ensure a losing season. They sit at 6-9 heading into the season finale against the Bears at TCF Bank Stadium. Here’s how it impacted their draft spot if the season ended today with record, strength of schedule tiebreaker (if necessary) and upcoming opponent listed in parentheses:
With the loss, the Vikings jumped two spots to the hold the No. 9 pick if the season ended today. They’re assured a top 13 pick with one game remaining but the highest selection the Vikings can make is the seventh overall pick.
The Vikings sit in a five-way tie at 6-9 with every team eliminated from the playoffs except the Falcons, who can clinch the NFC South with a win over the Panthers. The weak strength of schedule has helped the Vikings vault back into the top 10. Only the Falcons have a lower strength of schedule percentage than the Vikings among the five teams through 15 games.
So here are your draft scenarios, one last time, if the Vikings win or lose against the Bears:
If the Vikings lose: They’d have either the seventh or eighth overall pick, depending on the outcome of the Falcons-Panthers game. If the Vikings lose and the Falcons win, the Vikings would have the seventh overall pick. If they both lose, there’s a chance the Vikings’ strength of schedule could dip below Atlanta and still grab the seventh pick.
The Vikings would also leapfrog the Bears, who would also finish at 6-10, due to the strength of schedule tiebreaker. The Bears currently have a .531 strength of schedule percentage, which will not drop below the Vikings regardless of Sunday’s results.
The Vikings had the eighth overall pick last year. They traded down one spot with the Browns to select linebacker Anthony Barr with the ninth overall pick.
If the Vikings win: The Vikings would pick somewhere between No. 9 and 13. The Bears would lock up the seventh overall pick with a loss, and the Vikings would also fall behind the loser of the Falcons-Panthers contest that will finish with six wins.
The rest depends on the how the Rams, Saints, Giants and Browns fare in their matchups. Among those teams, only the Giants and Saints are playing teams eliminated from the playoffs.
I left out the 49ers, who sit at 7-8, in this scenario due to their strength of schedule percentage (.520). Even if both teams are tied at 7-9 with a Vikings win and a 49ers loss, the Vikings will hold the tiebreaker due to their strength of schedule (.491). The 49ers won’t close that gap once all the games are played.
Regardless of the outcome on Sunday, the Vikings should finish with a good pick in the 2015 NFL Draft.
Every weekday, our Vikings reporters walk you through what’s happening with the team that day.
WHAT YOU MIGHT HAVE MISSED
— Mike Zimmer was still bothered by the defense’s performance in the loss to the Dolphins.
— Zimmer, however, was pleased with rookie quarterback Teddy Bridgewater’s play.
— Linebacker Chad Greenway stepped away from the team to be with his family after his father died on Friday.
— Here’s how the snaps were divided up against the Dolphins.
TWEET OF THE (YESTER)DAY
Teddy Bridgewater is the first rookie QB to ever complete >70% of his passes in four straight games.
— Rich Hribar (@LordReebs) December 22, 2014
BEHIND ENEMY LINES
— Bears quarterback Jimmy Clausen will miss the season finale against the Vikings. That means Jay Cutler will start again.
— Michael Wright thinks starting Cutler again is a bad move.
— Bears defensive end Willie Young suffered a torn Achilles on Sunday.
— Wide receiver Brandon Marshall thinks Lions center Dominic Raiola is a dirty player after stomping on defensive tackle Ego Ferguson’s ankle.
TODAY’S VIKINGS SCHEDULE
The Vikings have an off day, but center John Sullivan will look to bring some Christmas cheer to those at the University of Minnesota Masonic Children’s hospital. Sullivan will host a Christmas party for young patients and their families this afternoon, providing gifts and pizza for every young patient in the hospital. Sullivan will be joined by current and former Vikings at the event.
SOMETHING TO THINK ABOUT
Wide receiver Greg Jennings has caught four touchdowns in the last five games. Last season, Jennings had four touchdowns just all season rotating through quarterbacks Christian Ponder, Matt Cassel and Josh Freeman. Jennings has six touchdowns this year.
Mike Zimmer still hadn’t cooled down much a day after the Vikings gave up 496 yards in total offense in a 37-35 loss to Miami.
The Vikings coach called the team’s defense “the worst we’ve played all year … maybe one of the worst I’ve ever seen” during his Monday press briefing at Winter Park.
The defense was coming off a strong performance in a 16-14 loss at Detroit on Dec. 14, but took a nasty turn.
“I know who they are,” Zimmer said of his defense, which gave up three fourth-quarter touchdowns, “but I didn’t know who they were on Sunday.”
“There were times when guys lined up where I didn’t know they were going to line up.”
The Vikings defense was hit with 11 penalties in the game.
“We talk about toughness,” Zimmer said. “You have to be tough in the fourth quarter. You have to be smart in the fourth quarter. You have to walk away from a guy talking to you instead of head-butting him – that shows toughness, too.”
The last comment was a shot at linebacker Gerald Hodges, who got a key personal foul penalty in the game.
Zimmer went out of his way to praise rookie quarterback Teddy Bridgewater – “he was excellent … that brings a lot of hope” – but in the end, he couldn’t hide his downright disgust at the defense.
“It bothers me when people don’t do what you ask them to do,” he said. “Mistakes bother me. Penalties bother me. Selfishness bothers me.
“I know this team cares. They just didn’t perform.”
Earlier, defensive tackle Sharif Floyd was asked to define what the team did wrong against Miami.
“Defensively we went out and did our own thing instead of staying in the scheme,” he said. “I think we all took turns coming up with penalties and coming up with bad plays. We’ve got to stop what we’re doing, come back together as a unit and understand that we have to go back to our technique and our keys, and play defense.”
Head coach Mike Zimmer just did his weekly Monday press conference, and he was still simmering after his defense fell apart in the second half of a 37-35 loss to the Dolphins. We will have more on that on the blog here shortly. I’m just popping in to provide some injury updates.
Outside linebacker Chad Greenway was excused from team activities today so he could go back to South Dakota to be with his family following the death of his father on Friday. Greenway played against the Dolphins but injured his right knee in the second quarter and did not return. Zimmer said Greenway will be back at Winter Park on Wednesday, but didn’t say if he would practice.
As for rookie Brandon Watts, who saw some action at outside linebacker after Greenway was lost, he has clearly irked Zimmer with his inability to either stay healthy or play through pain. Watts played just six defensive snaps against the Dolphins before exiting with a tweaked hamstring, his third hamstring injury of the season. Zimmer said that Watts needs to improve his “conditioning” and then smirked, so you are probably free to read between the lines on that one.
Finally, tight end Kyle Rudolph did not play against the Dolphins due to an ankle/knee injury. Asked if the team was just going to shut Rudolph down, Zimmer said that if Rudolph is healthy enough to play Sunday, then he will play. Rudolph has played just eight games this season.
Oh, one more thing: The Bears announced that quarterback Jimmy Clausen is out for Sunday’s game due to a concussion. That means that Jay Cutler’s time on the bench should soon be over.
Thoughts while counting snaps from Sunday’s 37-35 loss at Miami …
OFFENSIVE SNAPS: 61
QUARTERBACKS: Teddy Bridgewater 61, Christian Ponder DNP.
Thoughts: Bridgewater was fantastic. He threw only seven incompletions, and one of them was the interception that bounced off of Matt Asiata’s hands. Unfortunately, when people look at raw stats at the end of a season, they forget which interceptions were the QBs fault or were Hail Mary throws at the end of halves. Bridgewater also had only one incompletion on third downs, going 6 for 7 for 97 yards, three first downs and a touchdown to Greg Jennings. He had another 24-yard completion to Jennings on third down that proved he can drop a deeper ball into a tight spot outside the numbers. A fourth losing season in five years shouldn’t feel as hopeless for Vikings fans because of the young QB who should continue to improve.
OFFENSIVE LINE: LT Matt Kalil 61, LG Vladimir Ducasse 61, C John Sullivan 61, RG Joe Berger 61, RT Mike Harris 61, Austin Wentworth 3, G David Yankey DNP, T Carter Bykowski INA, G Charlie Johnson INA.
Thoughts: For all the grief Kalil gets, and much of it deserved this season, he played well on Sunday. Well enough to give Bridgewater a chance to post a 114.1 passer rating and complete 73.1 percent of his passes. Harris struggled, but that was to be expected. He was a journeyman backup facing Cameron Wake. Ducasse also got overpowered, but, again, he’s not a starting caliber player. With Johnson inactive with the ankle injury, Yankey, the rookie fifth-round pick, was active for the first time in his NFL career. But he didn’t play. Wentworth is proving to be a nice addition as an extra tackle in goal-line situations. The Vikings scored with him in there.
RECEIVERS, TIGHT ENDS: WR Charles Johnson 55, TE Rhett Ellison 47, WR Greg Jennings 47, WR Jarius Wright 34, TE Chase Ford 33, WR Cordarrelle Patterson 9, WR Adam Thielen 6, TE Kyle Rudolph INA.
Thoughts: If the team handed out an award for underrated player of the year, two tight ends — Ellison and Ford — would be in the mix along with Wright and, from this perspective, defensive tackle Tom Johnson. Ellison didn’t exactly show off blazing speed on his 40-yard catch late in the game, but the key play showed what can happen when teams go to sleep on this guy. He’s one of the ultimate worker bees that all NFL teams need to be successful. Rudolph practiced Friday, but the team was wise not to risk further injury to a prized playmaker. Although at some point, Rudolph will need to shed the injury bug for the team to continue trusting him as a No. 1 tight end. For the time being, however, the position is in good hands with two of the more underrated players on the roster.
RUNNING BACKS: RB Matt Asiata 45, RB Joe Banyard 16, FB Jerome Felton 10, RB Ben Tate DNP, FB Zach Line INA.
Thoughts: Asiata gets grief sometimes for having a limited skill set. He should be admired for knowing exactly the type of player he is and running as hard straight ahead as any back in the league. It’s not his fault Adrian Peterson was removed from the offense in Week 2. Asiata was never meant to be a feature back. But the guy has strong value because he doesn’t lose yardage, he catches the ball and doesn’t mess around with unnecessary moves. Asiata set the tone early in this game. On the Vikings’ first possession, Asiata touched the ball eight times on a 10-play touchdown drive, including the 1-yard touchdown to cap the drive. He had a 10-yard run. He caught a pass. And he even had a spin move that got him three yards to the 1-yard line. Don’t worry about what Asiata isn’t. Appreciate what he is. Banyard, meanwhile, had the best run of the game. And it could have been the pivotal play in the game had the Vikings won. Backed up near their own goal line with Miami calling time outs to set up good field position near the end of the half, Banyard exploded into the line on third-and-five. He plowed into Berger, moving the big guard forward a few yards before breaking free for a 16-yard gain. From that point, the Vikings were the ones who started calling timeouts to set up what became an 18-yard field goal and a 10-point lead at the half. Tate didn’t play and it’s safe to say the Vikings are becoming less interested in him long-term. He’s not running with authority and isn’t in the kind of shape they’re looking for.
DEFENSIVE SNAPS: 85.
LINEBACKERS: Gerald Hodges 85, Jasper Brinkley 52, Chad Greenway 43, Audie Cole 13, Brandon Watts 6, Anthony Barr INA.
Thoughts: The defense collapsed in the second half, giving up four touchdown drives in four possessions. Three of them were 80-yard drives. No question this defense would be better with Barr in the game, but Hodges is getting valuable playing time that will help him become a starter in either 2016 or as early as next season, depending on whether Greenway can hold him off another season. Greenway injured his knee and left the game early. Cole stepped in as his primary backup, while Watts got his first NFL snaps on defense. Brinkley played an uncharacteristically high 61 percent of the snaps, especially considering the Dolphins threw the ball 47 times.
DEFENSIVE LINE: DE Everson Griffen 77, DE Brian Robison 72, DT Sharrif Floyd 58, NT Linval Joseph 53, DT Tom Johnson 30, NT Shamar Stephen 28, DE Corey Wootton 21.
Thoughts: It was good to see Floyd back to handling his normal workload and putting together a very active game after a week off to finally rest that bothersome knee. He can be a rare inside pass rushing force if he can stay healthy. He also needs to keep his cool and not punch opponents in the facemask when he gets ticked off. He could have been tossed from the game on that one. Johnson continues to be a favorite player from this viewpoint. His reps are limited, but he gets the most out of them. He added another sack to extend his career-high total to 6 1/2. He also had two QB hurries.
SECONDARY: CB Xavier Rhodes 85, FS Harris Smith 85, CB Captain Munnerlyn 85, SS Robert Blanton 64, CB Josh Robinson 56, S Andrew Sendejo 22, CB Shaun Prater INA.
Thoughts: Rhodes is still having an extraordinary season and his future is as great as his determination and health will permit. Sunday was a good reminder to stay sharp with the techniques because sometimes — a lot of times — the officials call a tight game. The second half on Sunday was called especially tight. Heck, there was one play in which the officials called pass interference on both the offensive and defensive players. Rhodes was flagged twice, once for holding and once for pass interference inside the 5-yard line. His swagger is growing, which is good to see. As long as it doesn’t come with sloppiness. Smith had a great interception on a pass rush that would have been discussed at length had the Vikings not lost. The pick gave him five on the season. He’s the first Viking with at least five picks in a season since Darren Sharper had nine in 2005. Interesting that Blanton was healthy enough to play 64 snaps, but didn’t get his starting job back after missing last week’s game because of leg injuries. Sendejo started. Not a big deal since neither one really stands out above the other. Sendejo left to be evaluated for a concussion. He was cleared and returned briefly before Blanton came back in.
SPECIAL TEAMS: Most snaps: DE Justin Trattou 23.
MOST SNAPS: 92 Hodges (85 defense, seven special teams), Rhodes (85 defense, seven special teams).
|Buffalo||12/28/14 12:00 PM|
|Cleveland||12/28/14 12:00 PM|
|Dallas||12/28/14 12:00 PM|
|Indianapolis||12/28/14 12:00 PM|
|Jacksonville||12/28/14 12:00 PM|
|San Diego||12/28/14 12:00 PM|
|NY Jets||12/28/14 12:00 PM|
|Chicago||12/28/14 12:00 PM|
|Philadelphia||12/28/14 12:00 PM|
|New Orleans||12/28/14 12:00 PM|
|Carolina||12/28/14 3:25 PM|
|Detroit||12/28/14 3:25 PM|
|Oakland||12/28/14 3:25 PM|
|Arizona||12/28/14 3:25 PM|
|St. Louis||12/28/14 3:25 PM|
|Cincinnati||12/28/14 7:30 PM|
|Illinois||12/26/14 12:00 PM|
|Rutgers||12/26/14 3:30 PM|
|NC State||12/26/14 7:00 PM|
|Cincinnati||12/27/14 12:00 PM|
|Duke||12/27/14 1:10 PM|
|(15) Arizona State|
|Miami-Florida||12/27/14 2:30 PM|
|Boston College||12/27/14 3:30 PM|
|(25) Nebraska||12/27/14 7:00 PM|
|Texas A&M||12/29/14 1:00 PM|
|Oklahoma||12/29/14 4:30 PM|
|Arkansas||12/29/14 8:00 PM|
|Notre Dame||12/30/14 2:00 PM|
|(13) Georgia||12/30/14 5:45 PM|
|Maryland||12/30/14 9:00 PM|
|(9) Ole Miss||12/31/14 11:30 AM|
|(21) Boise State||12/31/14 3:00 PM|
|(8) Miss State||12/31/14 7:00 PM|
|(10) Georgia Tech|
|(19) Auburn||1/1/15 11:00 AM|
|(7) Michigan State||1/1/15 11:30 AM|
|(16) Missouri||1/1/15 12:00 PM|
|(2) Florida State||1/1/15 4:00 PM|
|(5) Ohio State||1/1/15 7:30 PM|